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The formation of a stable government has significantly reduced the political risks that were leading to bearish performance of the bourses due to lack of retail and FI investor interest. In addition, the decision to run the Indian Government with a team of a small and efficient cabinet minister backed by strong technocrats and abolition of GOM’s & EGOM’s should help in faster policy decisions. Thus, globally the view on Indian Equities has turned overweight from a neutral stance. The market is factoring in positive shift in macro through revival of investment cycle and growth. Stable currency, lower fiscal deficit, lower inflation and better earnings forecast will drive markets in the long term.

In the real estate sector, there were early signs of revival after a tepid end to FY 12-13. Increasing emphasis on infrastructure development and group housing has led to attractive price points for investors to enter. The suburbs of NCR such as the Noida – Greater Noida Expressway and their adjoining areas have seen many project launches by reputed builders. Fears on land dispute on account of farmers petitioning in the Allahabad High Court were put to rest when the plea by farmers challenging the land acquisition along the Yamuna Expressway was dismissed by the honourable court. In addition the 30km Noida-Greater Noida metro link has been given central government approval and is poised to come up by 2017. Noida Sectors 78, 79, 129 & 131 saw a gain in prices whereas Sector 50 remained flat. In Greater Noida, there were corrections in development along the Yamuna Expressway on account of uncertainty over the land acquisition; which had been challenged in the Allahabad High Court. We believe that this correction is just an interim phase and a good opportunity for long term investors to take positions. 

In Gurgaon developments along the Golf Course road and Sohna road remained flat since prices are higher than developments along NH8, Dwarka Expressway and MG road. The latter are showing signs of gain.

Ghaziabad and Faridabad also witnessed marginal increase in prices.

In our house view given the revival of the sector, we are bullish on developments in Sector 79 NOIDA and some developments in Dwarka Expressway. However, as has been our view from inception we believe that the credibility of builder, his cash flows, financial health and time to market (delivery of the project) are critical factors that an investor must highlight. Discounts and incentives are myopic lures that may be detrimental to investor interest in the long run. 


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CEO,JMK International

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Director, IP Constructions

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